In the rich tapestry of Portugal’s democratic history, the 2024 general elections represent a decisive moment, marked by seismic changes in the country’s political landscape. With the ballot boxes cast and voices heard, the contours of power have been redrawn, ushering in a new era of governance and possibility.

• A resurgent far right: Amid the changes in the political landscape, the far-right Chega party has enjoyed a meteoric rise in popularity. Rising from 7.38% in the previous election to 18.06% in 2024, Chega secured an impressive 48 parliamentary seats, becoming the country’s third largest political force. This unprecedented growth signals a recalibration of Portugal’s political discourse, with implications for the socio-cultural fabric of the nation.
• Left-wing upsurges and stability: Despite the ascendancy of the right, the left was not without its victories. The LIVRE party, which embodies progressive values and ideals, saw an increase in support, securing 3.26% of the vote and electing 4 MPs. Meanwhile, major parties such as the Left Bloc (BE) and the Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) maintained their positions, ensuring a certain ideological balance in Portugal’s political arena.
• Uncertainty and coalition building: With the allocation of parliamentary seats still pending due to the uncounted consulate votes, the formation of a stable government is at stake. President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa’s consultations with party leaders aim to circumvent this uncertainty, with all signs pointing to Luís Montenegro, of the PSD, as the presumptive Prime Minister-elect. The possible inclusion or exclusion of the Liberal Initiative (IL) in the government coalition adds an additional layer of complexity to the political calculus.